Wichita St.
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#39
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#33
Pace71.5#105
Improvement-3.1#293

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#109
First Shot-0.2#193
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#20
Layup/Dunks-0.1#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#173
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement-0.4#200

Defense
Total Defense+8.2#9
First Shot+6.1#25
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#16
Layups/Dunks+4.5#26
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#104
Freethrows-0.2#195
Improvement-2.6#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 83.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 83.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four15.0% n/a n/a
First Round75.7% n/a n/a
Second Round32.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.2% n/a n/a
Final Four1.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 5
Quad 27 - 39 - 8
Quad 36 - 015 - 8
Quad 48 - 023 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 232   Nebraska Omaha W 68-54 94%     1 - 0 +7.1 -8.7 +16.1
  Nov 09, 2019 291   Texas Southern W 69-63 96%     2 - 0 -4.5 -17.0 +11.9
  Nov 16, 2019 333   Tennessee Martin W 103-62 98%     3 - 0 +26.2 +11.3 +13.4
  Nov 19, 2019 216   Gardner-Webb W 74-52 93%     4 - 0 +16.1 +4.8 +13.7
  Nov 23, 2019 138   Oral Roberts W 68-59 86%     5 - 0 +7.9 -7.0 +15.1
  Nov 26, 2019 64   South Carolina W 70-47 59%     6 - 0 +31.1 +0.8 +29.7
  Nov 27, 2019 14   West Virginia L 63-75 36%     6 - 1 +2.4 -1.6 +4.4
  Dec 05, 2019 296   Central Arkansas W 95-69 97%     7 - 1 +15.2 -2.9 +12.8
  Dec 08, 2019 49   @ Oklahoma St. W 80-61 43%     8 - 1 +31.5 +9.9 +20.5
  Dec 14, 2019 37   Oklahoma W 80-75 60%     9 - 1 +13.1 +8.5 +4.3
  Dec 21, 2019 73   Virginia Commonwealth W 73-63 73%     10 - 1 +14.1 +1.1 +12.6
  Dec 29, 2019 192   Abilene Christian W 84-66 91%     11 - 1 +13.4 +5.9 +6.5
  Jan 01, 2020 202   East Carolina W 75-69 92%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +0.9 -0.7 +1.5
  Jan 04, 2020 93   Mississippi W 74-54 78%     13 - 1 +22.4 +6.9 +16.3
  Jan 09, 2020 57   Memphis W 76-67 69%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +14.6 +6.0 +8.0
  Jan 12, 2020 55   @ Connecticut W 89-86 2OT 45%     15 - 1 3 - 0 +14.9 +2.2 +12.0
  Jan 15, 2020 107   @ Temple L 53-65 62%     15 - 2 3 - 1 -4.5 -15.6 +11.7
  Jan 18, 2020 19   Houston L 54-65 50%     15 - 3 3 - 2 -0.3 -10.5 +9.7
  Jan 21, 2020 115   @ South Florida W 56-43 64%     16 - 3 4 - 2 +19.9 -0.3 +22.6
  Jan 25, 2020 117   Central Florida W 87-79 82%     17 - 3 5 - 2 +8.8 +4.5 +3.2
  Feb 01, 2020 75   @ Tulsa L 51-54 53%     17 - 4 5 - 3 +6.9 -5.4 +11.8
  Feb 06, 2020 44   Cincinnati L 79-80 63%     17 - 5 5 - 4 +6.1 +12.3 -6.3
  Feb 09, 2020 19   @ Houston L 43-76 28%     17 - 6 5 - 5 -16.3 -17.0 -2.4
  Feb 13, 2020 117   @ Central Florida W 75-58 64%     18 - 6 6 - 5 +23.8 +6.1 +17.6
  Feb 16, 2020 179   Tulane W 82-57 90%     19 - 6 7 - 5 +21.4 +5.5 +15.3
  Feb 20, 2020 115   South Florida W 65-55 82%     20 - 6 8 - 5 +10.9 -4.8 +15.7
  Feb 23, 2020 44   @ Cincinnati L 64-67 40%     20 - 7 8 - 6 +10.1 -5.0 +15.2
  Feb 27, 2020 107   Temple W 72-69 81%     21 - 7 9 - 6 +4.4 +2.7 +1.7
  Mar 01, 2020 86   @ SMU W 66-62 56%     22 - 7 10 - 6 +13.2 +7.2 +6.8
  Mar 05, 2020 57   @ Memphis L 60-68 46%     22 - 8 10 - 7 +3.6 -0.2 +3.7
  Mar 08, 2020 75   Tulsa W 79-57 74%     23 - 8 11 - 7 +25.9 +7.8 +17.2
Projected Record 23 - 8 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 83.0% 83.0% 10.0 0.1 0.7 4.6 17.5 34.1 25.1 0.8 17.0 83.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 83.0% 0.0% 83.0% 10.0 0.1 0.7 4.6 17.5 34.1 25.1 0.8 17.0 83.0%